The Biggest Betting Upsets in Football History
When football reminded everyone—odds mean nothing on the pitch.
Every weekend, bettors look for upsets. Most don't land. But when they do? They become legends. Some of the biggest shocks in football history didn't just break hearts—they broke betting models. Matches where the odds were ridiculous, and someone, somewhere, walked away with a life-changing win. Let's relive the most iconic betting upsets the game has ever seen—and what bettors can learn from them.
1. Leicester City Win the Premier League (2015–16)
Odds: 501.00
Payouts: Over £20 million industry-wide
Nobody saw it coming. Leicester were nearly relegated the season before. By the end of 2015–16, they were Premier League champions. Led by Jamie Vardy, Riyad Mahrez, and N'Golo Kanté, the Foxes shocked the world—and the bookmakers.
Fun fact: One bettor cashed out early for £29,000. Another let it ride and took home £100,000 on a £20 bet.
📌 Why it matters:
This wasn't just a match—it was a season-long mispricing. Bookies have never offered 501.00 on anything like it since.
2. Greece Win Euro 2004
Odds: 151.00 (Pre-tournament)
No Ronaldo. No Zidane. No golden generation. Just a defensive masterclass, set-piece goals, and belief. Greece beat France, the Czech Republic, and Portugal (twice) on their way to lifting the trophy—despite being given a 0.6% chance by most models.
📌 Why it matters:
Tournaments are short. Style matters. And underdogs with a plan can flip the script fast.
3. Barcelona 2–8 Bayern Munich (2020, UCL Quarterfinal)
Odds: Bayern to win by 6 = 101.00+
Correct score odds = Unlisted on many books
One of the most dominant clubs in Europe got destroyed. Not just beaten—humiliated. Bayern's pace, pressing, and precision blew Barca away. Bettors who backed Over 3.5, Over 4.5, or any Bayern handicaps made serious money. And anyone bold enough to play alt-score markets walked away stunned and rich.
📌 Why it matters:
Even elite clubs can fall apart when the matchup is wrong. And totals markets explode in chaotic games.
4. Bradford City Beat Chelsea (2015 FA Cup)
Odds: 26.00 – 41.00 depending on the book
Chelsea were top of the Premier League. Bradford were mid-table in League One. Chelsea went 2–0 up at home. Bradford came back to win 4–2 at Stamford Bridge.
📌 Why it matters:
The FA Cup is built for upsets—and punters who love longshots.
5. South Korea Beat Germany (World Cup 2018)
Odds: Around 19.00 pre-match
Germany only needed a draw. South Korea were "already out." But 2 stoppage-time goals knocked the defending champs out—and stunned every accumulator in the world.
📌 Why it matters:
Motivation ≠ form. And World Cup group-stage pressure melts even the best.
Honourable Mentions:
- Wigan 1–0 Man City (2018 FA Cup) – 21.00 win vs the eventual Premier League champions
- Deportivo 4–0 AC Milan (2004 UCL) – Trailed 4–1 after the first leg, then flipped it
- Real Madrid 1–4 Ajax (2019 UCL) – Huge underdog comeback, 101.00+ on exact score
What Bettors Can Learn from Upsets
- ✅ 1. Odds aren't guarantees—they're probabilities
A 51.00 shot still wins once in 51 tries. The question is: when? - ✅ 2. Emotion, motivation, and pressure matter
Especially in knockout games and derbies. - ✅ 3. Longshots are fine—in the right spots
Don't bet random 100.00s every week. But when the market underrates a matchup? That's your opening. - ✅ 4. Cash out isn't always the move
Leicester bettors who let it ride made history. But smart early exits also protected profit. Both options are valid—if it fits your strategy.
Final Word
Football's greatest betting moments came from the least expected results.
And they're a reminder that no matter the odds, this game always has room for madness.
The bookies don't fear favorites.
They fear the one longshot that actually hits.
Keep your eyes open. Be selective.
And when the right underdog comes along—don't be afraid to back the impossible.